Why the 3-Point Shot and Analytics Matter for Today’s Players

Written By Dustin Mactaggart

Over the last five years, basketball has changed more than at any other time in its history. The single biggest driver of this change? The rise of the 3-point shot, powered by analytics. For parents and players, understanding this trend is essential—not just to watch the game differently, but to train differently.

The Analytics Behind the Arc

At its core, basketball is about efficiency. Every possession matters, and coaches at every level—from the NBA to grassroots—are making decisions based on what the numbers say about scoring. Here’s what modern analytics reveal:

  • Layups & dunks: The most efficient shots in the game, scoring at roughly 65% accuracy.

  • Three-pointers: On average, worth 1.05 points per attempt—significantly more efficient than the mid-range.

  • Mid-range jumpers: Just ~0.9 points per attempt, making them the least efficient option.

That’s why teams design offenses to either get to the rim or create a clean three. Everything in between has been pushed aside by the math.

What This Looks Like on the Floor

  • More 3s than ever before: In 2015, teams averaged around 22 threes per game. Today, it’s closer to 37–38—and climbing.

  • Spacing is everything: Offenses stretch defenses to open up either the rim or the three-point line. Players who can’t space the floor are harder to keep on the court.

  • Bigs are evolving: Forwards and centers are expected to step out and hit threes. Being strong inside is no longer enough.

What This Means for Development

For players and parents, here’s the takeaway:

  • Shooting is non-negotiable: If you want to play at a high level, you must develop range. Every position—guards, wings, even centers—needs to be a shooting threat.

  • But don’t skip the foundation: Layups and finishes at the rim still matter most. Being able to attack, draw fouls, and convert easy points will never go out of style.

  • The mid-range is a counter: Even if analytics say it’s “less efficient,” having a reliable mid-range game keeps defenses honest. The best players—Steph Curry, Kevin Durant, DeMar DeRozan—use it when the defense takes away the rim and the three.

Why Parents Should Care

Understanding the role of analytics helps explain why coaches and trainers put so much emphasis on shooting and spacing. It’s not just a trend—it’s the way the game is being played. By supporting your child in developing range, you’re helping them prepare for the future of basketball, not just today’s version of it.

Final Word

At LIFT, we believe in teaching the game the right way. That means developing the complete player—athletes who can finish at the rim, shoot the three, and understand the numbers behind why those skills matter. Analytics may guide the game, but the players who blend efficiency with versatility are the ones who will thrive.

👉 Train. Learn. Evolve. The three-pointer isn’t just a shot—it’s a window into how the game of basketball has changed, and how today’s athletes must prepare to succeed.

Dustin Mactaggart

Meet Dustin Mactaggart. His journey began as a key player at Parkside High School, where he helped secure the OFSAA Championship during his junior year. He continued his basketball and academic pursuits at Fanshawe College in London, Ontario.

Dustin transitioned into coaching in 2018 at Oakville Prep, quickly rising from lead assistant to head coach. Over three years, he shaped athletes' skills and character, establishing himself as a respected leader. His coaching path then led to Prolific Prep in Napa, California, where he contributed to the Grind Session Championship and a significant run at the Geico Nationals. Simultaneously, he head coached Napa Christian Knights, steering them to the Northern California state sectional final and state championship semi-finals.

In addition to coaching, Dustin founded Let It Fly Basketball Training, developing players at NBA, NCAA D1, U Sports, and high school levels. He further expanded his impact with LIFT Basketball, a player-focused rep and AAU program based in Burlington. His work includes contributing to Canada Basketball's national skill development initiatives.

Dustin also shares his knowledge as a writer for The Maple Minute, one of Canada’s premier high school basketball scouting services, showcasing his eye for talent and passion for the sport.

Dustin lives in Burlington with his fiancée, Maya, and their baby, JJ, continuing his mission to inspire and uplift athletes at all levels of the game.

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